2026 Playoff Odds
20,000 simulated seasons from today's table and power ratings. Top 8 make the playoffs.
| # | Club | Proj Pts | Playoff% | Top 4% | Shield% | Title% | Finish distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC | 60.2 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 86.9% | 17.0% | |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave FC | 55.0 | 100.0% | 93.6% | 9.3% | 21.6% | |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit | 52.6 | 99.9% | 78.3% | 3.1% | 11.3% | |
| 4 |  Utah Royals FC | 50.5 | 97.4% | 44.9% | 0.7% | 8.2% | |
| 5 |  Angel City FC | 48.9 | 94.8% | 28.7% | <0.1% | 12.6% | |
| 6 |  Portland Thorns FC | 49.2 | 93.4% | 27.4% | 0.1% | 7.2% | |
| 7 |  Kansas City Current | 48.2 | 89.8% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 12.3% | |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC | 46.0 | 59.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 3.3% | |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage | 45.4 | 57.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.1% | |
| 10 |  Denver Summit FC | 41.1 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride | 37.7 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | <0.1% | |
| 12 |  Houston Dash | 35.3 | — | — | — | — | |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy FC | 30.4 | — | — | — | — | |
| 14 |  Bay FC | 29.7 | — | — | — | — | |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville FC | 27.3 | — | — | — | — | |
| 16 |  Chicago Stars FC | 20.1 | — | — | — | — |
playoff positions (1–8)outside the lineheat = P(finishing in that position)
Odds inherit the power ratings. A club the model rates above its current points projects upward relative to the live table, and vice versa.
Playoff-odds rank progression
rank 1–16 · by week · hover a line