Upcoming Fixtures

LOU63%Draw17%CHI21%

Stars FC are favored to win this match, as they are 63% likely to do so according to the model. The Stars FC are ranked 15th in the league, while Racing Louisville FC is ranked 16th. The model expects Stars FC to score 1.15 goals and Racing Louisville FC to score 2.20 goals. The projected scoreline is 1-2 for Stars FC. The Stars FC have a 1-point lead over Racing Louisville FC in the standings, and they could clinch the top spot in the standings with a win in this match.

LAAngel City FC

KC55%Draw20%LA26%

Kansas City Current, the 6th-ranked team in the league, are expected to win their next fixture against 9th-ranked Angel City FC. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Kansas City's 1.74 expected goals compared to Angel City's 1.08. Kansas City's 55% win probability, compared to Angel City's 26%, suggests that the home team should win. Kansas City has a 6-point lead over Angel City in the standings.

NJ/NY Gotham FC are 18 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the Gotham FC likely to win 53% of the time, while the Dash have a slight chance of winning 26%. The Gotham FC are ranked 1 of 16, while the Dash are ranked 12 of 16. The model expects the Gotham FC to score 1.47 goals and the Dash to score 0.91 goals. The model's most likely scoreline is the Gotham FC winning 0-1.

Bay FC is slightly favored at 41 percent, but Seattle Reign FC are 2 points ahead in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Bay FC scoring 1.38 goals and Seattle Reign FC scoring 1.21. Seattle Reign FC should win 35 percent of the time and Bay FC should win 43 percent of the time.

Sun, Aug 23 games

Washington Spirit are slight favorites as they face San Diego Wave FC in a crucial showdown. Washington Spirit are 7 points ahead of San Diego Wave FC in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Washington Spirit expected to score 1.25 goals and San Diego Wave FC expected to score 1.10 goals. Washington Spirit are projected to win the game with a 42% chance, draw with a 23% chance, and San Diego Wave FC are projected to win with a 35% chance.

UTA51%Draw21%POR28%

Utah Royals FC, ranked 3rd of 16 and 2 points ahead of Portland Thorns FC, are favored to win 51% of the time, with a model projecting a tight, low-scoring game (Utah Royals FC 1.60, Portland Thorns FC 1.11). The model expects Utah Royals FC to secure a 1-0 victory, but the match could end in a draw or a Portland Thorns FC win, with the latter being the least likely outcome.

Denver Summit FC, ranked 11th, and Boston Legacy FC, ranked 13th, are level on points with a slight edge for Denver. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Denver Summit FC having a 52% chance of victory and Boston Legacy FC a 28% chance. The expected goals for Denver are 1.75, compared to 1.19 for Boston, suggesting a potential for a close contest.

Wed, Aug 51 game

DEN44%Draw19%NC36%

North Carolina Courage have a slight edge over Denver Summit FC in the standings, but the model predicts a close encounter. Despite the Courage's 5-point lead, the Summit have shown resilience, and the expected goals suggest a tight, low-scoring game. The model projects a 2-1 Summit victory, but both teams should be able to keep the score close.

Fri, Aug 72 games

ORL54%Draw19%LOU26%

The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the Orlando Pride and Racing Louisville FC. The model expects the Orlando Pride to score 1.79 goals, while the model expects Racing Louisville FC to score 1.15 goals. The model predicts that the Orlando Pride will win the game 1 - 0.

Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16, are 8 points ahead of San Diego Wave FC in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Gotham FC expected to score 1.23 goals and Wave FC expected to score 1.05 goals. Gotham FC are slight favorites at 41 percent, drawing 24 percent and Wave FC winning 34 percent. Wave FC have lost 6 of their last 17 games, while Gotham FC have won 11 of their last 18 games. Gotham FC have scored 24 goals in their last 18 games, while Wave FC have scored 19 goals in their last 17 games.

Sat, Aug 83 games

Utah Royals FC, 11 points ahead, are favored to beat Denver Summit FC 1-0.

WASWashington Spirit

WAS47%Draw21%NC32%

Washington Spirit are favored to win 47% of the time and could face a tough match against North Carolina Courage. Spirit are 12 points ahead of Courage in the standings and should dominate the game.

HOU25%Draw20%KC56%

Model expects Kansas City Current to win 56% of the time, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game. Kansas City is currently 9 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings, and the model's most-likely scoreline is Houston Dash 0 - 1 Kansas City Current.

Sun, Aug 93 games

BOS44%Draw21%POR35%

Portland Thorns FC, ranked 5 of 16 in the NWSL standings, are expected to win 35% of their remaining games. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Portland Thorns FC scoring 1.30 expected goals to Boston Legacy FC's 1.50. The points gap between the two teams is 9 points, and Portland Thorns FC are 9 points ahead in the standings. Portland Thorns FC, ranked 5 of 16, are expected to win 35% of their remaining games. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Portland Thorns FC scoring 1.30 expected goals to Boston Legacy FC's 1.50. The points gap between the two teams is 9 points, and Portland Thorns FC are 9 points ahead in the standings.

Bay FC are 6 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC in the standings and are expected to win the upcoming match 1.57 to 1.17. The Stars FC have a 31% win probability, while the Bay FC have a 49% win probability. Bay FC are favored to win the match, as they have a higher expected goals figure and have been in better form than the Stars FC in recent games.

Seattle Reign FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this upcoming match against Angel City FC. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with the home team scoring 1.32 goals and the away team scoring 1.38 goals. Angel City FC are 2 points ahead of Seattle Reign FC in the standings, and the model predicts a Seattle Reign FC win of 0-1.

Fri, Aug 144 games

NJY43%Draw23%KC34%

NJ/NY Gotham FC are 9 points ahead of Kansas City Current in the standings. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC likely to win 41 percent of the time. The model expects NJ/NY Gotham FC to score 1.30 goals and Kansas City Current to score 1.11 goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC are expected to win 43 percent of the time, draw 23 percent of the time, and Kansas City Current are expected to win 34 percent of the time. The model predicts a NJ/NY Gotham FC 1-0 Kansas City Current win. NJ/NY Gotham FC are ranked 1 of 16 and Kansas City Current are ranked 6 of 16.

San Diego Wave FC, ranked 4th in the standings, are expected to dominate Denver Summit FC, ranked 11th, with a 58% win probability and a projected 1-0 scoreline. Despite the 10-point points gap, the Wave FC's strong form and scoring ability suggest they are favored to secure a win. Denver Summit FC, however, could still pull off a surprise with their 24% win probability and 1.13 expected goals.

Seattle Reign FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this fixture, according to the model. The home team are ranked 10th in the standings with 20 points from 15 games, 17 goals for and 19 against. The away team are ranked 15th with 12 points from 16 games, 8 goals for and 31 against. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC scoring 2.02 goals and Chicago Stars FC scoring 0.95 goals. The model's most-likely scoreline is Seattle Reign FC 1 - 0 Chicago Stars FC.

Utah Royals FC are slight favorites to face Bay FC on August 14. Utah Royals FC are 58 percent favored to win, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC expected to score 1.71 goals and Bay FC expected to score 0.93 goals. Utah Royals FC are 12 points ahead of Bay FC in the standings. Utah Royals FC are ranked 3 of 16 and Bay FC is ranked 14 of 16. Utah Royals FC have 30 points and Bay FC has 18 points. Utah Royals FC have 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in 17 games and Bay FC has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses in 16 games. Utah Royals FC have 26 goals for and 18 goals against and Bay FC has 16 goals for and 21 goals against.

Sat, Aug 152 games

LOU39%Draw20%BOS41%

Racing Louisville FC faces a challenging trip to Boston Legacy FC, where the home team is 8 points ahead in the standings. Despite their strong form, the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game, with Boston Legacy FC slightly favored at 41 percent. The match will be a test of both teams' ability to capitalize on their current form and standings.

POR47%Draw22%ORL32%

Portland Thorns FC, ranked 5th, are slightly favored over Orlando Pride, ranked 8th, with a 47% win probability and a projected scoreline of 1-0. The Thorns, trailing by just 5 points, are in a strong form with 8 wins in 17 games, while the Pride are struggling with 7 wins in 18 games. Despite the slight edge, the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with expected goals of 1.47 for Portland and 1.16 for Orlando.

Sun, Aug 162 games

NC67%Draw16%HOU17%

North Carolina Courage are slightly favored at 67 percent to win, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game. The home team should be able to capitalize on their 5-point lead in the standings. Despite the model's projection of a 1-0 win for North Carolina Courage, Houston Dash are likely to put up a strong fight and could draw with 16 percent probability.

Washington Spirit, ranked 2 of 16 in the NWSL standings, are 14 points ahead of Angel City FC, ranked 9, in the standings. The Spirit's 39% win probability, the higher of the two teams, suggests they are the slight favorites. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the Spirit likely scoring 1.23 goals and Angel City FC scoring 1.25. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Angel City FC 1 - 0 Washington Spirit.

Wed, Aug 192 games

SEASeattle Reign FC

LOU43%Draw20%SEA36%

Racing Louisville FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, but Seattle Reign FC could prove otherwise. The Reign FC offense is expected to score 1.42 goals, while the Cardinals are expected to score 1.57 goals. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Reign FC offense having a slight edge over the Cardinals' defense.

Houston Dash are slight favorites at 41 percent, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game. The model expects the Dash to win 1.79 goals to 1.04 goals, and their 7-point lead in the standings should be enough to secure victory. The Stars, ranked 15th, have struggled recently, and the Dash's consistent form could prove decisive in this matchup.

Fri, Aug 211 game

Utah Royals FC should close the gap on San Diego Wave FC in a tight fixture. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams. Utah Royals FC are slightly favorites at 41 percent, while San Diego Wave FC are projected to win 54 percent and draw 20 percent. Utah Royals FC are 1 point ahead of San Diego Wave FC in the standings. San Diego Wave FC have a higher expected goals per game ratio (1.68) than Utah Royals FC (1.05). Utah Royals FC should capitalize on their higher expected goals per game ratio and win the game 1 - 0.

Sat, Aug 223 games

SEASeattle Reign FC

KC62%Draw18%SEA20%

Kansas City Current are slightly favorites at 62 percent to win their upcoming match against Seattle Reign FC, according to the model. The home team is 8 points ahead of the away team in the standings and should be able to capitalize on their form, scoring 1.90 expected goals to Seattle's 0.92. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams.

NC56%Draw19%BOS26%

The home team, NC Courage, are slight favorites to face Legacy in a tight, low-scoring contest. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with NC Courage winning 56% and Legacy FC winning 26%. NC Courage are 5 points ahead of Legacy FC in the standings. NC Courage are ranked 7 of 16, 24 pts, 7W-3D-6L in 16 games, 26 for / 23 against. Legacy FC are ranked 13 of 16, 19 pts, 5W-4D-8L in 17 games, 18 for / 23 against.

POR48%Draw19%DEN33%

Portland Thorns FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game. The model expects Portland Thorns FC 1 - 0 Denver Summit FC. Portland Thorns FC are 9 points ahead of Denver Summit FC in the standings. Portland Thorns FC should be able to capitalize on this advantage. The model predicts Portland Thorns FC 1.77 goals and Denver Summit FC 1.42 goals. Portland Thorns FC are ranked 5 of 16, 28 points, 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in 17 games. Denver Summit FC are ranked 11 of 16, 19 points, 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in 15 games.

Sun, Aug 234 games

1–2

CHI32%Draw19%LOU49%

Chicago Stars FC, ranked 15th of 16, are slightly favored at 41 percent to win against Racing Louisville FC, ranked 16th. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Stars expected to score 1.39 goals and the Racers 1.80. The Stars, who are 1 point ahead of the Racers in the standings, are favored due to their superior points tally and form. The Racers, who are also in 16 games with a 3-2-1 record, are expected to put up a fight, but the Stars' edge in form and points is likely to be too much for them to overcome.

Washington Spirit are slight favorites at 41 percent. The Spirit's 13-point lead in the standings is a big factor in their win probability. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the Spirit scoring 1.47 goals and Pride scoring 0.91 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Washington Spirit 1 - 0 Orlando Pride.

Bay FC, currently ranked 14th, is on the brink of a crucial match against the Houston Dash, who are in 12th place. Despite Bay FC's slight 41% win probability, the away team's recent form and 1-point lead in the standings suggest a tight contest. The model projects a low-scoring game with Bay FC scoring 1.52 goals and Houston Dash scoring 1.07, hinting at a competitive battle between the two teams.

NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16 and 15 points ahead of Angel City FC, are expected to secure a commanding 1-0 victory against their hosts. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with NJ/NY Gotham FC having a slight edge in expected goals (1.22 vs. 1.18). Despite their 7-1-7 record, Angel City FC's 23 goals for and 16 against suggest they may struggle to match Gotham FC's pace and efficiency on the pitch.

Wed, Aug 261 game

LAAngel City FC

NC52%Draw19%LA29%

North Carolina Courage are slightly favorites at 52 percent to win this matchup, facing off against Angel City FC. The home team is in a strong position, ranked 7th of 16 and having won 7 of their last 16 games, while the away team is ranked 9th and has a slightly lower expected goals per game of 1.29 compared to the Courage's 1.84. Despite the points gap of just 2, the Courage's recent form and higher expected goals make them the more likely winners, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure their spots in the playoffs.

Fri, Aug 282 games

NJY53%Draw21%POR26%

NJ/NY Gotham FC are the slight favorites at 53 percent, with Portland Thorns FC being the underdogs at 26 percent. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC expected to score 1.55 goals and Portland Thorns FC expected to score 0.96 goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC are 9 points ahead of Portland Thorns FC in the standings, which should help them secure a win.

SD66%Draw16%LOU18%

San Diego Wave FC are favored to win this matchup against Racing Louisville FC, with a model projecting a 66% chance of victory and an expected goals difference of 2.18-0.98. The Wave FC's superior form, with a 9-2-6 record in 17 games, and a significant 18-point lead over the struggling Louisville FC, give them a commanding edge. The model predicts a narrow victory for the Wave FC, with a scoreline of 1-0.

Sat, Aug 293 games

KC51%Draw19%NC30%

Kansas City Current, ranked 6th in the league with 28 points from 18 games, are slight favorites at 51% to win against North Carolina Courage, ranked 7th with 24 points from 16 games. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with Kansas City Current scoring 1.81 goals and North Carolina Courage scoring 1.31 goals. Kansas City Current should win by 1-0, according to the model's most-likely scoreline.

Utah Royals FC, ranked 3 of 16, should face slight favorites Orlando Pride, ranked 8 of 16, in a tight, low-scoring contest. Utah Royals FC are 7 points ahead in the standings, but the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Orlando Pride expected to score 1.38 goals and Utah Royals FC expected to score 1.23 goals.

Denver Summit FC, currently ranked 11th in the NWSL standings, are expected to secure a 2.54 to 0.88 victory over Chicago Stars FC, who are ranked 15th. The Summit FC hold a significant 7-point lead in the standings, with a strong home form and a recent win against the Stars. Despite the Stars' 4-0 win against the Summit FC in their last meeting, the Summit FC's superior points difference and overall performance make them the slight favorites for this upcoming fixture.

Sun, Aug 302 games

Bay FC is expected to struggle against the Washington Spirit, who are the slight favorites at 59 percent. The Spirit have an 18-point lead in the standings, and their form is strong, with a 11-3-3 record in 17 games. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Spirit expected to score 1.68 goals and Bay FC expected to score 0.85 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Washington Spirit 1 - 0 Bay FC.

Seattle Reign FC, ranked 10th, are slight favorites with a 52% win probability. Despite a 1-point gap in the standings, the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC scoring 1.59 expected goals and Houston Dash scoring 1.05. The match is set for 2026-08-30.

Mon, Aug 311 game

Boston Legacy FC, ranked 13th, faces Angel City FC, ranked 9th, in a crucial matchup. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring affair with Boston Legacy FC slightly favored at 42%. Despite their superior form and points gap of 3, Angel City FC's strong record and home-field advantage make them a formidable opponent.

Fri, Sep 42 games

Utah Royals FC are 11 points ahead of Boston Legacy FC in the standings. The model predicts Utah Royals FC will win 52% of the time, draw 21%, and Boston Legacy FC will win 27% of the time. Utah Royals FC are expected to score 1.62 goals, while Boston Legacy FC are expected to score 1.07 goals. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game between the Utah Royals FC and Boston Legacy FC.

BAY29%Draw21%KC51%

Bay FC are slight favorites at 41 percent, but the Kansas City Current are a lot closer than the numbers suggest. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, but the 10-point gap in the standings should favor the visiting team.

Sat, Sep 51 game

LAAngel City FC

LOU35%Draw20%LA45%

Angel City FC are 11 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game. Angel City FC are favored to win 45%, while Racing Louisville FC are favored to win 35%. The model expects Angel City FC to score 1.65 goals, while Racing Louisville FC are expected to score 1.44 goals. Angel City FC's higher points gap and stronger form should give them an edge in this matchup.

Sun, Sep 65 games

Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16, are 18 points ahead of Summit FC, ranked 11 of 16. Gotham FC are favored to win the match 37% of the time, and the model expects a low-scoring game with a 1.22 expected goals per side. The model's single most likely scoreline is Gotham FC 1 - 0 Summit FC.

1–2

CHI18%Draw16%NC66%

North Carolina Courage are 12 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with North Carolina Courage winning 66% of the time. Chicago Stars FC are slight favorites at 41%, but the Courage are expected to score 2.31 goals compared to Chicago Stars FC's 1.09 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Chicago Stars FC 1 - 2 North Carolina Courage.

WASWashington Spirit

POR38%Draw22%WAS40%

Portland Thorns FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to face Washington Spirit on September 6. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Washington Spirit being favored by 1.29 expected goals. Portland Thorns FC are 8 points behind Washington Spirit in the standings.

Orlando Pride are slight favorites at 41 percent, but the model expects a tight, low-scoring game. The model projects a 1-0 scoreline for Orlando Pride.

San Diego Wave FC, currently 9 points ahead of Seattle Reign FC in the standings, are poised to extend their lead with a victory. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with San Diego Wave FC having an expected goal advantage of 0.4. Despite Seattle Reign FC's 30% win probability, the gap in points and form suggests that Wave FC should be favored to secure a win and maintain their momentum.

Fri, Sep 113 games

LOU29%Draw21%NJY51%

NJ/NY Gotham FC are 26 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with NJ/NY Gotham FC expected to win 51% of the time. NJ/NY Gotham FC have the advantage of being at home, and the model expects NJ/NY Gotham FC to score 1.59 expected goals and Racing Louisville FC to score 1.11 expected goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is Racing Louisville FC 0 - 1 NJ/NY Gotham FC.

KC57%Draw20%ORL23%

Kansas City Current, ranked 6th in the standings with a 5-point lead over Orlando Pride, are expected to win 57% of the time, according to the model. The current form of the teams is Kansas City Current's 9-1-8 record and Orlando Pride's 7-2-9 record. Kansas City Current should be favored due to their higher points total and their 1.69 expected goals compared to Orlando Pride's 0.95 expected goals.

Angel City FC, ranked 9th in the standings, are favored by the model with a 49% win probability, while Denver Summit FC, ranked 11th, are projected to score 1.36 goals on average. The 3-point gap between the two teams could lead to a tight and competitive match, with both sides looking to capitalize on their strengths.

Sat, Sep 123 games

SD50%Draw20%NC30%

San Diego Wave FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this matchup, according to the model. Wave FC, ranked fourth in the league, are 5 points ahead of North Carolina Courage, who are ranked seventh. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Wave FC likely scoring a goal, while Courage are expected to have 1.26 expected goals. Wave FC should win, but Courage are still in the mix.

The Seattle Reign FC are slight favorites at 47 percent to win against Bay FC in a tight, low-scoring game. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the Reign FC scoring 1.47 goals and Bay FC scoring 1.14 goals. The Reign FC are 2 points ahead of Bay FC in the standings.

Utah Royals FC are slight favorites at 47 percent to win in this matchup, despite being 11 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with the Royals projected to score 1.52 goals and the Dash 1.20. The Royals' superior form and scoring record suggest they have the upper hand, but the Dash's resilience and potential for a comeback could make this a thrilling contest.

Sun, Sep 132 games

Washington Spirit are expected to win 54 percent of the time, drawing 21 percent and losing 25 percent, according to the model. The 17-point gap in the standings, with Spirit leading 36 points to Legacy's 19, should be enough to secure a victory. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Spirit scoring 1.59 goals and Legacy scoring 0.97 goals.

POR70%Draw15%CHI15%

Portland Thorns FC, ranked 5th and 16 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC, are favored to win 70% of the time. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Portland Thorns FC scoring 2.31 goals and Chicago Stars FC scoring 0.90 goals. The home team should have the upper hand due to their superior form and standings.

Wed, Sep 162 games

Bay FC is expected to lose to the 11th-ranked Denver Summit FC by a score of 1-0. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Bay FC's expected goals at 1.04 and Denver Summit FC's expected goals at 1.85. Bay FC is 1 point behind Denver Summit FC in the standings.

Angel City FC is expected to edge out Seattle Reign FC in a tightly contested match. With a slight 53% chance of victory and a model projecting a scoreline of 1-0, the home team appears favored. Despite Seattle's 27% win probability, Angel City's superior form and 2-point lead in the standings make them the likely winners.

Fri, Sep 181 game

SD45%Draw22%KC33%

San Diego Wave FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this matchup. The Wave are ranked 4 of 16, 29 points, 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in 17 games. The Wave have scored 23 goals and conceded 19. Kansas City Current are ranked 6 of 16, 28 points, 9 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses in 18 games. The Wave have scored 28 goals and conceded 26. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with San Diego Wave FC scoring 1.44 goals and Kansas City Current scoring 1.19 goals. The model's single most-likely scoreline is San Diego Wave FC 1 - 0 Kansas City Current.

Sat, Sep 193 games

ORL44%Draw22%POR35%

Portland Thorns FC are favored to win the 2026-09-19 NWSL match against Orlando Pride, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game. Portland Thorns FC are 5 points ahead of Orlando Pride in the standings, and the model expects Portland Thorns FC to score 27 goals while Orlando Pride score 22 goals. Portland Thorns FC are slightly favorites at 35 percent, with Orlando Pride being 44 percent and drawing 22 percent.

NC43%Draw21%NJY35%

North Carolina Courage are slight favorites at 41 percent to win against NJ/NY Gotham FC in a tight, low-scoring game. The model projects a 1.43 goal-to-goal difference in favor of NC Courage, who are ranked 7th in the league and have a strong home record. Gotham FC, ranked 1st in the league, are 13 points ahead of NC Courage in the standings and are expected to be the more physically dominant side. However, NC Courage's recent form and home advantage could make them a dangerous opponent on this occasion.

Seattle Reign FC are slightly favored at 41 percent, but the model expects a tight, low-scoring game. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Seattle Reign FC 1.08 expected goals and Denver Summit FC 1.82 expected goals. Seattle Reign FC should take 1 point from Denver Summit FC.

Sun, Sep 204 games

Legacy FC and the Dash are tied on 19 points and Boston Legacy FC has a slight edge with a 56 percent win probability. The model projects a low-scoring game with Legacy FC scoring 1.74 goals and the Dash scoring 1.01 goals. The home team should be favored in this matchup.

Washington Spirit are 24 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC in the standings, and the model expects the Spirit to win 63% of the time. The Spirit are ranked 2 of 16, while the Stars are ranked 15. The model expects the Spirit to score 1.87 goals, and the Stars to score 0.86 goals. The model's most-likely scoreline is 0-1 Washington Spirit.

BAY48%Draw20%LOU32%

Bay FC, currently ranked 14th, are expected to win 48% of their remaining matches, while Racing Louisville FC, ranked 16th, are projected to win 32%. The 7-point gap between the two teams should favor Bay FC, who have scored 16 goals for and conceded 21 against, compared to Racing Louisville FC's 19 goals for and 33 against. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with Bay FC likely winning 1-0.

Utah Royals FC are favored to win this matchup, with the model projecting a 1.54 goal advantage. The 8-point gap in the standings should also play a role in the outcome, with Utah Royals FC being slightly favored at 49% to win. Angel City FC, with their 2.3 goal advantage, could potentially turn this game around, but Utah Royals FC's superior form and points lead make them the slight favorites at 49% to win.

Fri, Sep 253 games

LOU28%Draw20%SD53%

Racing Louisville FC, currently ranked 16th with 11 points, is up against San Diego Wave FC, the league's top team with 29 points. Despite their 18-point lead in the standings, the Wave's form is promising, and the model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with the Wave projected to win 53%. Racing Louisville, on the other hand, has struggled recently and is expected to face a challenging battle.

NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16 with a strong record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, are set to face off against the struggling Chicago Stars FC, ranked 15. With a substantial 25-point gap in the standings, Gotham is expected to dominate, with a model projection of a 2-0 victory. Despite the Stars' 14% draw probability, Gotham's superior form and scoring ability make a comfortable win likely.

Seattle Reign FC are slight favorites over Boston Legacy FC in a low-scoring clash. The home team, ranked 10th of 16, is favored by 41 percent according to the model. The away team, ranked 13th of 16, is favored by 37 percent. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC scoring 1.39 goals and Boston Legacy FC scoring 1.30 goals. Seattle Reign FC should be able to capitalize on their home-field advantage and win the match, as they are 1 point ahead of Boston Legacy FC in the standings.

Sat, Sep 263 games

KC59%Draw18%DEN24%

Kansas City Current, ranked 6th in the standings, are expected to win 59% of the time against Denver Summit FC, ranked 11th. The home team is favored by 9 points in the standings, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Kansas City scoring 2.04 goals and Denver Summit scoring 1.20. The matchup is a battle of contrasts as Kansas City looks to solidify its top-half position, while Denver Summit aims to climb the ranks.

Washington Spirit, ranked 2nd and 14 points ahead of Angel City FC, are expected to dominate the league in this match. The Spirit's 51% win probability and 1.51 expected goals indicate a slight favorite, while Angel City FC's 28% win probability and 1.03 expected goals suggest a tough matchup. Despite being the away team, the Spirit's superior form and standings should give them the upper hand.

POR59%Draw19%HOU23%

Portland Thorns FC, ranked fifth, are poised to secure a commanding victory against Houston Dash, who are twelfth in the standings. The model predicts a tight, low-scoring game with Portland Thorns FC projected to score 1.82 goals and Houston Dash 1.00. With a points gap of 9, Portland Thorns FC should comfortably win with a 59% probability, drawing 19% and Houston Dash winning 23%.

Sun, Sep 272 games

Bay FC, ranked 14th, are slight favorites at 39% for victory, facing off against the Orlando Pride, who are ranked 8th and have a 5-point lead. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Bay FC likely scoring 1.23 goals and Orlando Pride 1.24. Despite their form, the Pride's superior points gap and higher expected goals make them the more likely victors in this exciting fixture.

UTA45%Draw20%NC35%

Utah Royals FC are slight favorites to win, projected to score 1.6 goals and North Carolina Courage 1.37. Utah Royals FC are 6 points ahead of North Carolina Courage in the standings, with Utah Royals FC ranked 3 and North Carolina Courage ranked 7. Utah Royals FC are 41 percent favored to win, 20 percent to draw, and 35 percent to lose.

Fri, Oct 22 games

San Diego Wave FC are slight favorites at 43% to win, but the Orlando Pride are not out of it. The San Diego Wave FC are 6 points ahead of the Orlando Pride in the standings, but the San Diego Wave FC are ranked 4 of 16 while the Orlando Pride are ranked 8 of 16. The San Diego Wave FC are 23 for and 19 against, while the Orlando Pride are 22 for and 26 against. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the San Diego Wave FC likely to score 1.31 goals and the Orlando Pride likely to score 1.12 goals. The San Diego Wave FC are predicted to win 1-0. The San Diego Wave FC are favored by 9 points.

SEASeattle Reign FC

SEA34%Draw20%NC46%

North Carolina Courage are 4 points ahead of Seattle Reign FC in the standings, but the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle Reign FC winning 34% of the time. Despite their current 6W-2D-7L record, Seattle Reign FC should be favored due to their recent 2-0 victory over the Courage, as well as their higher expected goals per game (1.37 vs. 1.66). The Courage, ranked 7th in the league, are expected to try and capitalize on their home advantage and try to close the points gap.

Sat, Oct 33 games

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Utah Royals FC are 19 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings and are 9 games win-less in their last 17 games. Racing Louisville FC, on the other hand, are 11 games win-less in their last 16 games. Utah Royals FC are favored to win the match with a 45% win probability, while Racing Louisville FC are favored to lose with a 36% win probability. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Utah Royals FC scoring 1.68 expected goals and Racing Louisville FC scoring 1.47 expected goals. The model's most-likely scoreline is Utah Royals FC 0-1 Racing Louisville FC.

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Bay FC faces a daunting task traveling to Kansas City, where the Current are slight favorites at 64 percent. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the Current expected to score 1.93 goals and Bay FC 0.89. The points gap of 10 between the two teams in the standings could be the deciding factor, with the Current being the clear favorites to win.

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Portland Thorns FC, currently ranked 5th in the NWSL standings, face off against Boston Legacy FC, who are ranked 13th. The Thorns, with 28 points from 17 games, hold a significant 9-point lead over their opponents. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Portland Thorns FC favored to win 48%, drawing 21%, and Boston Legacy FC winning 32%. The expected goals suggest Portland Thorns FC could score 1.59 while Boston Legacy FC scores 1.24.

Sun, Oct 43 games

NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16, are expected to dominate Angel City FC, ranked 9 of 16, with a projected 1.48 to 0.98 expected goals in their upcoming fixture. The 15-point gap in the standings highlights the disparity between the two teams, with Gotham FC poised to secure a commanding victory.

Denver Summit FC is 7 points ahead of Chicago Stars FC in the standings, but the Stars FC model projects a tight, low-scoring game. Denver Summit FC are favored at 59%, while Chicago Stars FC are favored at 24% and could draw at 18%. The expected goals for Denver Summit FC are 2.09 and for Chicago Stars FC are 1.23. The most likely scoreline is Denver Summit FC 1 - 2 Chicago Stars FC.

The Washington Spirit are slightly favorites at 52 percent, but the Houston Dash have the form to challenge them. The Spirit have the advantage in the standings, but the Dash have the momentum and the talent to pull off an upset. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, but the Dash could still find a way to score and secure a point.

Fri, Oct 161 game

BOS55%Draw19%LOU27%

Boston Legacy FC, ranked 13th in the standings, are favored to win the upcoming match against Racing Louisville FC, who are ranked 16th. The home team should capitalize on their 8-point lead to secure a victory. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Boston Legacy FC scoring 1.91 goals and Racing Louisville FC scoring 1.24 goals.

Sat, Oct 174 games

NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked first in the standings, is expected to defeat Washington Spirit, who are ranked second, with a 42% chance of winning. The model predicts a low-scoring game, with NJ/NY Gotham FC scoring 1.00 expected goals and Washington Spirit scoring 1.17 expected goals. NJ/NY Gotham FC should be favored due to their higher points gap and form, despite Washington Spirit's strong recent performance.

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Utah Royals FC, ranked 3rd, are favored to win against Kansas City Current, ranked 6th, by 40%, according to the model. However, the model expects a tight, low-scoring game with both teams scoring 1.31 expected goals. The points gap between the two teams is 2, and Utah Royals FC are expected to win by 1-0.

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San Diego Wave FC are ranked 4 of 16 and are 5 points ahead of North Carolina Courage in the standings. The Wave are favored by the model to win 37%, with the model projecting a tight, low-scoring game. The Wave are 23 for and 19 against in 17 games. The Wave have 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses. The Courage are 7 of 16, 24 points, 26 for and 23 against. The Courage have 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses.

Denver Summit FC should face a challenge in their quest for a playoff spot. Ranked 11th, the team is slightly favored with a 41% win probability, thanks to their superior goal difference. However, Angel City FC, ranked 9th and three points ahead, could upset the home side with a 31% win probability. The model expects a low-scoring game, with Denver Summit FC scoring 1.66 goals and Angel City FC scoring 1.26 goals. The most likely scoreline is Denver Summit FC 1 - 0 Angel City FC.

Sun, Oct 183 games

Houston Dash, ranked 12th, are slightly favored at 41% to win against Orlando Pride, who are ranked 8th and 4 points ahead in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with expected goals of 1.14 for the Dash and 1.34 for the Pride. Despite their superior form and points gap, the Dash's recent struggles may pose a challenge to the Pride's strong performance.

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Bay FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, but the Thorns have a 10-point lead and are expected to score 1.38 goals. Bay FC, ranked 14th, have struggled with consistency, while Portland Thorns FC, ranked 5th, are in a strong form. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game between the two teams.

Seattle Reign FC, ranked 10th in the league, are expected to win 51% of the time according to the model, with a projected scoreline of 1.63 goals for and 1.15 goals against for the Stars. The Stars, ranked 15th, are facing a 8-point gap in the standings and have been struggling recently with a 12-game losing streak. Despite their low form, the Stars are still favored by the model, as they have a 29% chance of victory. The game is expected to be a tight and low-scoring affair, with the model projecting a 0-1 scoreline for the Reign.

Fri, Oct 233 games

Houston Dash are slightly favored to win this game with a 44% win probability, while Chicago Stars FC are expected to score slightly more with an expected goal difference of 0.18. The home team is currently 7 points behind in the standings, but the Dash have won 5 of their last 7 games, and the Stars have lost 12 of their last 16. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with a scoreline of 0-1 Houston Dash.

Utah Royals FC, ranked third in the standings with a 56% win probability, are expected to edge out Seattle Reign FC, who are ranked tenth. The home team should capitalize on their stronger form and the 10-point lead in the standings to secure a victory.

1–1

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Portland Thorns FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win, but the points gap between the two teams is only four, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with expected goals of 1.57 for each side. The home team is ranked 5 of 16 in the standings, while the away team is ranked 7 of 16. Portland Thorns FC are 4 points ahead of North Carolina Courage in the standings, but the game could turn on form and tactical adjustments.

Sat, Oct 242 games

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Denver Summit FC are favored to win 62% of the time in this matchup. Denver Summit FC are ranked 11 of 16, 19 pts, 5W-4D-6L in 15 games, 21 for / 20 against. Racing Louisville FC are ranked 16 of 16, 11 pts, 3W-2D-11L in 16 games, 19 for / 33 against. Points gap: Denver Summit FC are 8 points ahead of Racing Louisville FC in the standings. Model win probabilities: Denver Summit FC win 62%, draw 17%, Racing Louisville FC win 22%. Model expected goals: Denver Summit FC 2.20, Racing Louisville FC 1.19. Model's single most-likely scoreline: Denver Summit FC 2 - 1 Racing Louisville FC.

Angel City FC are slight favorites at 41 percent to win this fixture, thanks to their 4-point lead in the standings. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with Angel City FC expected to score 1.70 goals and Bay FC 1.04 goals. Despite Bay FC's strong form, Angel City's superior record and points gap give them the edge in this crucial matchup.

Sun, Oct 253 games

NJ/NY Gotham FC will face Orlando Pride in a battle of contrasting forms. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game. NJ/NY Gotham FC are 14 points ahead of Orlando Pride in the standings. NJ/NY Gotham FC should win 42 percent of the time. The model projects a 1.19 expected goals difference. NJ/NY Gotham FC are the slight favorites at 41 percent.

WASWashington Spirit

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The Washington Spirit, ranked second in the NWSL standings, travel to face the Kansas City Current, who are ranked sixth. The Spirit are eight points ahead of the Current, but the Current's strong home form and recent victories could tip the scales in their favor. Despite the Spirit's slight edge in expected goals, the model projects a tight, low-scoring game, with the Current expected to win 41 percent of the time and the Spirit 30 percent. The game promises to be a battle of contrasts, with the Spirit's attacking prowess and the Current's solid defense coming into play.

San Diego Wave FC are slightly favorites to beat Boston Legacy FC, and the model expects a tight, low-scoring game. The Wave FC have 10 points ahead of Legacy FC in the standings, and the Wave FC have a 57% chance of winning, while Legacy FC have a 23% chance. The Wave FC are ranked 4th and Legacy FC are ranked 13th in the league.

Sun, Nov 18 games

Angel City FC are slight favorites at 49 percent to win this matchup. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with Angel City FC expected to score 1.61 goals and Boston Legacy FC expected to score 1.19 goals. Angel City FC are 3 points ahead of Boston Legacy FC in the standings.

Bay FC, ranked 14th, will travel to San Diego Wave FC, ranked 4th, on November 1st. The Wave lead the league by 11 points, and the model projects a tight, low-scoring game with San Diego Wave FC expected to win 50%, Bay FC 29%, and a draw 21%. Despite their superior form and points gap, Bay FC will need to overcome the Wave's strong home record and tactical prowess to secure a victory.

NJ/NY Gotham FC, ranked 1 of 16 and sitting 7 points ahead of Utah Royals FC, are expected to come out on top, with the model projecting a 52% chance of victory. The home team's strong form, with 11 wins and 4 draws in 18 games, is expected to give them the edge over the away team, who have a 9-3-5 record in 17 games. Utah Royals FC, however, are not to be underestimated, and the model projects a 27% chance of winning. The match is expected to be a tight, low-scoring affair, with NJ/NY Gotham FC likely to score 1 goal and Utah Royals FC 0.98 goals. The game is set for November 1, 2026, at the home of NJ/NY Gotham FC.

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Portland Thorns FC are favored to win this matchup. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game with the Thorns FC scoring 1.50 and the Dash scoring 1.22. Portland Thorns FC are 9 points ahead of Houston Dash in the standings, and the Thorns FC have won 8 out of 17 games. The Dash have lost 7 out of 16 games and are ranked 12th of 16.

NC56%Draw18%DEN27%

Model predicts NC Courage to win 56%, draw 18%, and Summit to win 27% in an exciting matchup. With a 5-point gap in the standings, NC Courage are slight favorites at 41 percent. The model expects a tight, low-scoring game with NC Courage scoring 2.15 goals and Summit scoring 1.42. The most-likely scoreline is NC Courage 2 - 1 Summit.